Treasury auctions · 30-Year TIPS

30-year TIPS auction of 20 February 2020 (new issue)

The 30-year TIPS sold $8 billion at a high real yield of 0.261% on , with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.40.

Real yield at each 30-year TIPS auction

The last 35 auctions, this one last

Real yield at each 30-year TIPS auction, 8 Apr 1998 to 20 Feb 2020
Real yield at each 30-year TIPS auction, 22 Feb 2010 to 20 Feb 2020

Bid-to-cover ratio at each 30-year TIPS auction

The last 35 auctions, this one last

Bid-to-cover ratio at each 30-year TIPS auction, 8 Apr 1998 to 20 Feb 2020
Bid-to-cover ratio at each 30-year TIPS auction, 22 Feb 2010 to 20 Feb 2020

Who bought the 30-year TIPS of 20 Feb 2020

Shares of the competitive bids accepted

  • Indirect bidders 73.7%
  • Direct bidders 11.5%
  • Primary dealers 14.8%
This auction, 20 Feb 2020
  • Indirect bidders 81.6%
  • Direct bidders 7.7%
  • Primary dealers 10.6%
The 30-year TIPS auction before, 22 Aug 2019

Each point is one 30-year TIPS auction, this one last; pointing at the chart shows its date and figures.

Select a line to followLatest:

  • Indirect bidders73.7%
Inspect and compare dates
Real yield and bid-to-cover of the last 35 30-year TIPS auctions, newest first
AuctionReal yield, %Bid-to-cover
0.2612.40
0.5012.70
1.0932.46
1.2352.32
0.9342.62
1.0032.31
0.9082.64
0.8802.83
0.9232.25
0.6662.28
0.9052.69
1.1202.11
1.2002.62
1.1422.45
0.8422.43
0.9852.29
1.1162.76
1.4952.34
1.3302.76
1.4202.48
0.6392.47
0.4792.82
0.5202.64
0.7702.46
0.9993.06
1.7443.02
2.1902.54
1.7682.78
2.2292.45
3.4652.23
3.9531.98
4.138–
3.899–
3.680–
3.740–

Observed .

Right now

The high real yield of 0.261% on 20 February 2020 was the lowest of all 34 earlier 30-year TIPS auctions we hold.

The direct bidders' share of 11.5% was the highest for a 30-year TIPS since 24 October 2013, with 17 auctions in between.

Lower than all 28 since 22 February 2010

Its own history

Against the previous 24 30-year TIPS auctions, the real yield was lower than all 24.

The direct bidders' share was higher than 18 of them.

See every measure against earlier auctions

Who bought

Indirect bidders took the largest share of the competitive bids accepted.

  • Indirect bidders 73.7%
  • Direct bidders 11.5%
  • Primary dealers 14.8%

Size

Treasury sold $8 billion of the $8 billion offered.

Bids received came to $19.186 billion; the bid-to-cover ratio was 2.40.

Its bid-to-cover of 2.40 compares with the 24 auctions before it: lowest 2.11 on , highest 3.06 on ; 30.5% of the way from the low to the high.

2.40

Low 2.11 Midpoint 2.585 High 3.06

The security30-Year, new issue

Coupon
0.250%
Announced
Issued
Matures

It adds to the debt that matures in February 2050.

Understanding this result

Where it stands today

The high real yield was 0.261% at this 30-year TIPS auction, the median real yield 0.200% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.40.

What do these figures measure?

The high real yield is the highest rate Treasury accepted; every winning bidder gets it. The bid-to-cover ratio is bids received divided by the amount sold. Shares are of competitive bids accepted. High minus median shows how far the accepted cut-off sat above the middle accepted bid; it is not the market's auction tail, which needs a when-issued price that is not public.

Read more

How does it compare with the par yield curve?

The real par yield curve comparison sets the high yield against Treasury's own real par yield curve on the auction day, at the point nearest this security's maturity (30-year). Treasury fixes that curve from market quotes in the late afternoon, after the auction closed, so the gap mixes the auction's pricing with the afternoon's market move. It is not the auction tail either.

What these figures cannot tell

  • Why it sold where it did. Results show what was bid and accepted, not the reasons behind any bid.
  • The auction tail as markets quote it. That compares the high yield with the when-issued yield just before bids closed, a market price that is not public; we show high minus median instead, a different measure.
  • Who the bidders are. Indirect bidders include foreign and international accounts bidding through the New York Fed and investors bidding through dealers; Treasury does not publish names.
  • Demand on another day. A bid-to-cover ratio counts bids at one auction against the amount offered, and the amount offered changes from auction to auction.

The numbers behind the chart

What did Treasury publish for this auction?Every field, to the dollar
30-year TIPS auction of 20 February 2020: Treasury's published result, with our shares and spread marked "ours"
FieldValue
Offered as30-Year, new issue
Offering amount$8,000,000,000
Bids received$19,185,510,700
Sold$8,000,004,200
Competitive bids accepted$7,993,317,500
Non-competitive bids accepted$6,686,700
Federal Reserve (SOMA) add-on$0
Foreign and international (FIMA) non-competitive$0
Real yield, %0.261
Median rate, %0.200
Low rate, %0.088
Interest rate (coupon), %0.250
Bids at the high rate filled, %68.35
Bid-to-cover ratio2.40
Indirect bidders accepted$5,892,927,000
Direct bidders accepted$918,000,000
Primary dealers accepted$1,182,390,500
Indirect bidders' share, % (ours)73.7
Direct bidders' share, % (ours)11.5
Primary dealers' share, % (ours)14.8
High minus median, basis points (ours)6.1
Treasury real par yield curve, 30-year point, same day, %0.26
High yield minus that point, basis points (ours)0.1
How does it compare with earlier auctions?The previous 12 auctions, then every window
Against the previous 12 auctions of the 30-year TIPS
MeasureThis auctionMedianHigherLower
Bid-to-cover ratio2.402.547 of 125 of 12
High real yield0.2610.92812 of 120 of 12
Indirect bidders' share73.775.97 of 125 of 12
Direct bidders' share11.54.20 of 1212 of 12
Primary dealers' share14.822.110 of 122 of 12
High minus median, basis points6.16.47 of 125 of 12

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

The longer windows

Each measure against earlier 30-year TIPS auctions: how many were higher and lower, and their median
MeasureThis auctionWindowHigherLowerMedian
Bid-to-cover ratio2.40Last 24 auctions17 of 247 of 242.48
Bid-to-cover ratio2.40Since 22 February 201021 of 287 of 282.51
Bid-to-cover ratio2.40All 30 since 11 October 200021 of 309 of 302.48
High real yield0.261Last 24 auctions24 of 240 of 240.960
High real yield0.261Since 22 February 201028 of 280 of 281.001
High real yield0.261All 34 since 8 April 199834 of 340 of 341.118
Indirect bidders' share73.7Last 24 auctions7 of 2417 of 2469.6
Indirect bidders' share73.7All 28 since 22 February 20107 of 2821 of 2866.8
Direct bidders' share11.5Last 24 auctions6 of 2418 of 245.8
Direct bidders' share11.5All 28 since 22 February 20108 of 2820 of 286.5
Primary dealers' share14.8Last 24 auctions22 of 242 of 2425.9
Primary dealers' share14.8All 28 since 22 February 201026 of 282 of 2828.6
High minus median, basis points6.1Last 24 auctions14 of 2410 of 246.4
High minus median, basis points6.1Since 22 February 201015 of 2813 of 286.4
High minus median, basis points6.1All 34 since 8 April 199817 of 3417 of 346.2

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

When are the figures from, and how are they cited?Dates and how to cite

Observed .

Shares of competitive bids, grades against earlier auctions and the high-minus-median spread are computed by 500metrics from Treasury's published fields.

Observed .

How to cite this

U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data, auction of 20 February 2020. Results file: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2020/R_20200220_3.pdf. Compiled by 500metrics, "30-year TIPS auction of 20 February 2020 (new issue)", https://500metrics.com/treasury/auctions/30-year-tips/2020-02-20.

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