Treasury auctions · 29-Year 10-Month Bond, reopening

30-year bond auction of 8 October 2015 (reopening)

The 30-year bond sold $13 billion at a high yield of 2.914% on , with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.46.

High yield at each 30-year bond auction

The last 36 auctions, this one last

High yield at each 30-year bond auction, 8 Nov 2012 to 8 Oct 2015
High yield at each 30-year bond auction, 10 Oct 2013 to 8 Oct 2015

Bid-to-cover ratio at each 30-year bond auction

The last 36 auctions, this one last

Bid-to-cover ratio at each 30-year bond auction, 8 Nov 2012 to 8 Oct 2015
Bid-to-cover ratio at each 30-year bond auction, 10 Oct 2013 to 8 Oct 2015

Who bought the 30-year bond of 8 Oct 2015

Shares of the competitive bids accepted

  • Indirect bidders 56.4%
  • Direct bidders 15.5%
  • Primary dealers 28.1%
This auction, 8 Oct 2015
  • Indirect bidders 66.0%
  • Direct bidders 7.4%
  • Primary dealers 26.6%
The 30-year bond auction before, 10 Sep 2015

Each point is one 30-year bond auction, this one last; pointing at the chart shows its date and figures.

Select a line to followLatest:

  • Indirect bidders56.4%
Inspect and compare dates
High yield and bid-to-cover of the last 36 30-year bond auctions, newest first
AuctionHigh yield, %Bid-to-cover
2.9142.46
2.9802.54
2.8802.26
3.0842.23
3.1382.54
3.0442.20
2.5972.18
2.6812.18
2.5602.26
2.4302.32
2.8482.76
3.0922.29
3.0742.40
3.2402.67
3.2242.60
3.3692.40
3.4442.69
3.4402.09
3.5252.52
3.6302.35
3.6902.27
3.8992.57
3.9002.35
3.8102.16
3.7582.64
3.8202.40
3.6522.11
3.6602.26
3.3552.47
2.9802.53
2.9982.49
3.2482.43
3.1802.74
3.0702.77
2.9172.50
2.8202.77

Observed .

Right now

The high yield was 2.914% on 8 October 2015, down from 2.980% at the auction before.

Higher than 12 of the 80 since 8 May 2008

Its own history

Against the previous 24 30-year bond auctions, the indirect bidders' share was higher than 23 of the 24.

The primary dealers' share was higher than 3 of them.

See every measure against earlier auctions

Who bought

Indirect bidders took the largest share of the competitive bids accepted.

  • Indirect bidders 56.4%
  • Direct bidders 15.5%
  • Primary dealers 28.1%

Size

Treasury sold $13 billion of the $13 billion offered.

Bids received came to $31.982 billion; the bid-to-cover ratio was 2.46.

Its bid-to-cover of 2.46 compares with the 24 auctions before it: lowest 2.09 on , highest 2.76 on ; 55.2% of the way from the low to the high.

2.46

Low 2.09 Midpoint 2.425 High 2.76

The security29-Year 10-Month, reopening

Coupon
2.875%
Announced
Issued
Matures

It adds to the debt that matures in August 2045.

Understanding this result

Where it stands today

The high yield was 2.914% at this 30-year bond auction, the median yield 2.874% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.46.

What do these figures measure?

The high yield is the highest rate Treasury accepted; every winning bidder gets it. The bid-to-cover ratio is bids received divided by the amount sold. Shares are of competitive bids accepted. High minus median shows how far the accepted cut-off sat above the middle accepted bid; it is not the market's auction tail, which needs a when-issued price that is not public.

Read more

How does it compare with the par yield curve?

The par yield curve comparison sets the high yield against Treasury's own par yield curve on the auction day, at the point nearest this security's maturity (30-year). Treasury fixes that curve from market quotes in the late afternoon, after the auction closed, so the gap mixes the auction's pricing with the afternoon's market move. It is not the auction tail either.

What these figures cannot tell

  • Why it sold where it did. Results show what was bid and accepted, not the reasons behind any bid.
  • The auction tail as markets quote it. That compares the high yield with the when-issued yield just before bids closed, a market price that is not public; we show high minus median instead, a different measure.
  • Who the bidders are. Indirect bidders include foreign and international accounts bidding through the New York Fed and investors bidding through dealers; Treasury does not publish names.
  • Demand on another day. A bid-to-cover ratio counts bids at one auction against the amount offered, and the amount offered changes from auction to auction.

The numbers behind the chart

What did Treasury publish for this auction?Every field, to the dollar
30-year bond auction of 8 October 2015: Treasury's published result, with our shares and spread marked "ours"
FieldValue
Offered as29-Year 10-Month, reopening
Offering amount$13,000,000,000
Bids received$31,981,623,000
Sold$13,000,005,300
Competitive bids accepted$12,998,353,300
Non-competitive bids accepted$1,652,000
Federal Reserve (SOMA) add-on$0
Foreign and international (FIMA) non-competitive$0
High yield, %2.914
Median rate, %2.874
Low rate, %2.795
Interest rate (coupon), %2.875
Bids at the high rate filled, %91.87
Bid-to-cover ratio2.46
Indirect bidders accepted$7,328,983,300
Direct bidders accepted$2,017,000,000
Primary dealers accepted$3,652,370,000
Indirect bidders' share, % (ours)56.4
Direct bidders' share, % (ours)15.5
Primary dealers' share, % (ours)28.1
High minus median, basis points (ours)4.0
Treasury par yield curve, 30-year point, same day, %2.96
High yield minus that point, basis points (ours)-4.6
How does it compare with earlier auctions?The previous 12 auctions, then every window
Against the previous 12 auctions of the 30-year bond
MeasureThis auctionMedianHigherLower
Bid-to-cover ratio2.462.283 of 129 of 12
High yield2.9142.9306 of 126 of 12
Indirect bidders' share56.450.91 of 1211 of 12
Direct bidders' share15.512.62 of 1210 of 12
Primary dealers' share28.137.010 of 122 of 12
High minus median, basis points4.05.58 of 124 of 12

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

The longer windows

Each measure against earlier 30-year bond auctions: how many were higher and lower, and their median
MeasureThis auctionWindowHigherLowerMedian
Bid-to-cover ratio2.46Last 24 auctions9 of 2415 of 242.35
Bid-to-cover ratio2.46Since 8 May 200847 of 8033 of 802.52
Bid-to-cover ratio2.46All 87 since 8 February 200147 of 8739 of 872.49
High yield2.914Last 24 auctions18 of 246 of 243.181
High yield2.914Since 8 May 200868 of 8012 of 803.532
High yield2.914All 154 since 1 November 1979142 of 15412 of 1544.660
Indirect bidders' share56.4Last 24 auctions1 of 2423 of 2447.6
Indirect bidders' share56.4All 80 since 8 May 20081 of 8079 of 8039.8
Direct bidders' share15.5Last 24 auctions9 of 2415 of 2413.8
Direct bidders' share15.5All 80 since 8 May 200831 of 8049 of 8013.8
Primary dealers' share28.1Last 24 auctions21 of 243 of 2437.7
Primary dealers' share28.1All 80 since 8 May 200877 of 803 of 8045.6
High minus median, basis points4.0Last 24 auctions13 of 2411 of 244.4
High minus median, basis points4.0Since 8 May 200851 of 8029 of 804.8
High minus median, basis points4.0All 154 since 1 November 197958 of 15490 of 1543.4

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

When are the figures from, and how are they cited?Dates and how to cite

Observed .

Shares of competitive bids, grades against earlier auctions and the high-minus-median spread are computed by 500metrics from Treasury's published fields.

Observed .

How to cite this

U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data, auction of 8 October 2015. Results file: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2015/R_20151008_1.pdf. Compiled by 500metrics, "30-year bond auction of 8 October 2015 (reopening)", https://500metrics.com/treasury/auctions/30-year-bond/2015-10-08.

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