Treasury auctions · 10-Year TIPS

10-year TIPS auction of 22 July 2021 (new issue)

The 10-year TIPS sold $16 billion at a high real yield of -1.016% on , with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.50.

Real yield at each 10-year TIPS auction

The last 36 auctions, this one last

Real yield at each 10-year TIPS auction, 18 Sep 2015 to 22 Jul 2021
Real yield at each 10-year TIPS auction, 19 Sep 2019 to 22 Jul 2021

Bid-to-cover ratio at each 10-year TIPS auction

The last 36 auctions, this one last

Bid-to-cover ratio at each 10-year TIPS auction, 18 Sep 2015 to 22 Jul 2021
Bid-to-cover ratio at each 10-year TIPS auction, 19 Sep 2019 to 22 Jul 2021

Who bought the 10-year TIPS of 22 Jul 2021

Shares of the competitive bids accepted

  • Indirect bidders 70.1%
  • Direct bidders 15.5%
  • Primary dealers 14.3%
This auction, 22 Jul 2021
  • Indirect bidders 68.6%
  • Direct bidders 15.9%
  • Primary dealers 15.5%
The 10-year TIPS auction before, 20 May 2021

Each point is one 10-year TIPS auction, this one last; pointing at the chart shows its date and figures.

Select a line to followLatest:

  • Indirect bidders70.1%
Inspect and compare dates
Real yield and bid-to-cover of the last 36 10-year TIPS auctions, newest first
AuctionReal yield, %Bid-to-cover
-1.0162.50
-0.8052.50
-0.5802.42
-0.9872.68
-0.8672.71
-0.9662.65
-0.9302.24
-0.4702.39
0.6802.32
0.0362.33
0.1492.40
0.1742.41
0.2822.28
0.5673.07
0.5782.43
0.9192.42
1.1092.59
0.9102.57
0.7622.22
0.9342.42
0.7642.56
0.5482.69
0.5122.43
0.4502.32
0.4891.98
0.4202.56
0.4662.23
0.4362.45
0.3692.39
0.0522.59
0.0452.39
0.2752.27
0.3152.25
0.7252.19
0.6642.38
0.6002.36

Observed .

Right now

The high real yield of -1.016% on 22 July 2021 was the lowest of all 108 earlier 10-year TIPS auctions we hold.

Lower than all 75 since 10 April 2008

Its own history

Against the previous 24 10-year TIPS auctions, the real yield was lower than all 24.

The indirect bidders' share was higher than 18 of them.

See every measure against earlier auctions

Who bought

Indirect bidders took the largest share of the competitive bids accepted.

  • Indirect bidders 70.1%
  • Direct bidders 15.5%
  • Primary dealers 14.3%

Size

Treasury sold $16 billion of the $16 billion offered.

Bids received came to $39.942 billion; the bid-to-cover ratio was 2.50.

Its bid-to-cover of 2.50 compares with the 24 auctions before it: lowest 1.98 on , highest 3.07 on ; 47.7% of the way from the low to the high.

2.50

Low 1.98 Midpoint 2.525 High 3.07

The security10-Year, new issue

Coupon
0.125%
Announced
Issued
Matures

It adds to the debt that matures in July 2031.

Understanding this result

Where it stands today

The high real yield was -1.016% at this 10-year TIPS auction, the median real yield -1.077% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.50.

What do these figures measure?

The high real yield is the highest rate Treasury accepted; every winning bidder gets it. The bid-to-cover ratio is bids received divided by the amount sold. Shares are of competitive bids accepted. High minus median shows how far the accepted cut-off sat above the middle accepted bid; it is not the market's auction tail, which needs a when-issued price that is not public.

Read more

How does it compare with the par yield curve?

The real par yield curve comparison sets the high yield against Treasury's own real par yield curve on the auction day, at the point nearest this security's maturity (10-year). Treasury fixes that curve from market quotes in the late afternoon, after the auction closed, so the gap mixes the auction's pricing with the afternoon's market move. It is not the auction tail either.

What these figures cannot tell

  • Why it sold where it did. Results show what was bid and accepted, not the reasons behind any bid.
  • The auction tail as markets quote it. That compares the high yield with the when-issued yield just before bids closed, a market price that is not public; we show high minus median instead, a different measure.
  • Who the bidders are. Indirect bidders include foreign and international accounts bidding through the New York Fed and investors bidding through dealers; Treasury does not publish names.
  • Demand on another day. A bid-to-cover ratio counts bids at one auction against the amount offered, and the amount offered changes from auction to auction.

The numbers behind the chart

What did Treasury publish for this auction?Every field, to the dollar
10-year TIPS auction of 22 July 2021: Treasury's published result, with our shares and spread marked "ours"
FieldValue
Offered as10-Year, new issue
Offering amount$16,000,000,000
Bids received$39,941,520,600
Sold$16,000,086,600
Competitive bids accepted$15,970,325,400
Non-competitive bids accepted$29,761,200
Federal Reserve (SOMA) add-on$0
Foreign and international (FIMA) non-competitive$0
Real yield, %-1.016
Median rate, %-1.077
Low rate, %-1.880
Interest rate (coupon), %0.125
Bids at the high rate filled, %11.24
Bid-to-cover ratio2.50
Indirect bidders accepted$11,201,413,400
Direct bidders accepted$2,483,292,000
Primary dealers accepted$2,285,620,000
Indirect bidders' share, % (ours)70.1
Direct bidders' share, % (ours)15.5
Primary dealers' share, % (ours)14.3
High minus median, basis points (ours)6.1
Treasury real par yield curve, 10-year point, same day, %-1.01
High yield minus that point, basis points (ours)-0.6
How does it compare with earlier auctions?The previous 12 auctions, then every window
Against the previous 12 auctions of the 10-year TIPS
MeasureThis auctionMedianHigherLower
Bid-to-cover ratio2.502.403 of 128 of 12
High real yield-1.016-0.52512 of 120 of 12
Indirect bidders' share70.167.53 of 129 of 12
Direct bidders' share15.516.17 of 125 of 12
Primary dealers' share14.316.710 of 122 of 12
High minus median, basis points6.15.55 of 127 of 12

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

The longer windows

Each measure against earlier 10-year TIPS auctions: how many were higher and lower, and their median
MeasureThis auctionWindowHigherLowerMedian
Bid-to-cover ratio2.50Last 24 auctions8 of 2415 of 242.42
Bid-to-cover ratio2.50Since 10 April 200833 of 7541 of 752.45
Bid-to-cover ratio2.50All 103 since 29 January 199735 of 10367 of 1032.39
High real yield-1.016Last 24 auctions24 of 240 of 240.470
High real yield-1.016Since 10 April 200875 of 750 of 750.466
High real yield-1.016All 108 since 29 January 1997108 of 1080 of 1080.702
Indirect bidders' share70.1Last 24 auctions6 of 2418 of 2468.3
Indirect bidders' share70.1All 75 since 10 April 200811 of 7564 of 7558.8
Direct bidders' share15.5Last 24 auctions9 of 2415 of 2414.7
Direct bidders' share15.5All 75 since 10 April 200814 of 7561 of 758.1
Primary dealers' share14.3Last 24 auctions20 of 244 of 2417.5
Primary dealers' share14.3All 75 since 10 April 200870 of 755 of 7530.9
High minus median, basis points6.1Last 24 auctions9 of 2415 of 245.5
High minus median, basis points6.1Since 10 April 200836 of 7539 of 755.9
High minus median, basis points6.1All 108 since 29 January 199741 of 10867 of 1085.5

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

When are the figures from, and how are they cited?Dates and how to cite

Observed .

Shares of competitive bids, grades against earlier auctions and the high-minus-median spread are computed by 500metrics from Treasury's published fields.

Observed .

How to cite this

U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data, auction of 22 July 2021. Results file: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2021/R_20210722_3.pdf. Compiled by 500metrics, "10-year TIPS auction of 22 July 2021 (new issue)", https://500metrics.com/treasury/auctions/10-year-tips/2021-07-22.

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