Treasury auctions · 9-Year 8-Month TIPS, reopening

10-year TIPS auction of 19 November 2015 (reopening)

The 10-year TIPS sold $13 billion at a high real yield of 0.664% on , with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.38.

Real yield at each 10-year TIPS auction

The last 36 auctions, this one last

Real yield at each 10-year TIPS auction, 5 Oct 2009 to 19 Nov 2015
Real yield at each 10-year TIPS auction, 21 Nov 2013 to 19 Nov 2015

Bid-to-cover ratio at each 10-year TIPS auction

The last 36 auctions, this one last

Bid-to-cover ratio at each 10-year TIPS auction, 5 Oct 2009 to 19 Nov 2015
Bid-to-cover ratio at each 10-year TIPS auction, 21 Nov 2013 to 19 Nov 2015

Who bought the 10-year TIPS of 19 Nov 2015

Shares of the competitive bids accepted

  • Indirect bidders 67.2%
  • Direct bidders 7.5%
  • Primary dealers 25.3%
This auction, 19 Nov 2015
  • Indirect bidders 73.3%
  • Direct bidders 0.8%
  • Primary dealers 26.0%
The 10-year TIPS auction before, 18 Sep 2015

Each point is one 10-year TIPS auction, this one last; pointing at the chart shows its date and figures.

Select a line to followLatest:

  • Indirect bidders67.2%
Inspect and compare dates
Real yield and bid-to-cover of the last 36 10-year TIPS auctions, newest first
AuctionReal yield, %Bid-to-cover
0.6642.38
0.6002.36
0.4912.31
0.3582.33
0.2002.43
0.3152.39
0.4972.57
0.6102.20
0.2492.49
0.3392.91
0.6592.48
0.6612.31
0.5602.59
0.5002.38
0.3842.44
-0.2252.52
-0.6022.74
-0.6302.71
-0.7202.52
-0.7502.36
-0.6372.62
-0.3913.01
-0.0892.81
-0.0462.91
0.0992.64
0.0782.61
0.6392.62
0.8872.66
0.9202.97
1.1702.37
0.4092.91
1.0192.80
1.2952.88
1.7093.43
1.4302.65
1.5103.12

Observed .

Right now

The high real yield of 0.664% on 19 November 2015 was the highest for a 10-year TIPS since 19 May 2011.

Higher than 27 of the 41 since 10 April 2008

Its own history

Against the previous 24 10-year TIPS auctions, the real yield was higher than all 24.

The indirect bidders' share was higher than 22 of them.

See every measure against earlier auctions

Who bought

Indirect bidders took the largest share of the competitive bids accepted.

  • Indirect bidders 67.2%
  • Direct bidders 7.5%
  • Primary dealers 25.3%

Size

Treasury sold $13 billion of the $13 billion offered.

Bids received came to $30.938 billion; the bid-to-cover ratio was 2.38.

Its bid-to-cover of 2.38 compares with the 24 auctions before it: lowest 2.20 on , highest 3.01 on ; 22.2% of the way from the low to the high.

2.38

Low 2.20 Midpoint 2.605 High 3.01

The security9-Year 8-Month, reopening

Coupon
0.375%
Announced
Issued
Matures

It adds to the debt that matures in July 2025.

Understanding this result

Where it stands today

The high real yield was 0.664% at this 10-year TIPS auction, the median real yield 0.585% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.38.

What do these figures measure?

The high real yield is the highest rate Treasury accepted; every winning bidder gets it. The bid-to-cover ratio is bids received divided by the amount sold. Shares are of competitive bids accepted. High minus median shows how far the accepted cut-off sat above the middle accepted bid; it is not the market's auction tail, which needs a when-issued price that is not public.

Read more

How does it compare with the par yield curve?

The real par yield curve comparison sets the high yield against Treasury's own real par yield curve on the auction day, at the point nearest this security's maturity (10-year). Treasury fixes that curve from market quotes in the late afternoon, after the auction closed, so the gap mixes the auction's pricing with the afternoon's market move. It is not the auction tail either.

What these figures cannot tell

  • Why it sold where it did. Results show what was bid and accepted, not the reasons behind any bid.
  • The auction tail as markets quote it. That compares the high yield with the when-issued yield just before bids closed, a market price that is not public; we show high minus median instead, a different measure.
  • Who the bidders are. Indirect bidders include foreign and international accounts bidding through the New York Fed and investors bidding through dealers; Treasury does not publish names.
  • Demand on another day. A bid-to-cover ratio counts bids at one auction against the amount offered, and the amount offered changes from auction to auction.

The numbers behind the chart

What did Treasury publish for this auction?Every field, to the dollar
10-year TIPS auction of 19 November 2015: Treasury's published result, with our shares and spread marked "ours"
FieldValue
Offered as9-Year 8-Month, reopening
Offering amount$13,000,000,000
Bids received$30,938,044,300
Sold$13,000,001,800
Competitive bids accepted$12,986,157,500
Non-competitive bids accepted$13,844,300
Federal Reserve (SOMA) add-on$0
Foreign and international (FIMA) non-competitive$0
Real yield, %0.664
Median rate, %0.585
Low rate, %0.388
Interest rate (coupon), %0.375
Bids at the high rate filled, %75.83
Bid-to-cover ratio2.38
Indirect bidders accepted$8,729,200,000
Direct bidders accepted$975,000,000
Primary dealers accepted$3,281,957,500
Indirect bidders' share, % (ours)67.2
Direct bidders' share, % (ours)7.5
Primary dealers' share, % (ours)25.3
High minus median, basis points (ours)7.9
Treasury real par yield curve, 10-year point, same day, %0.68
High yield minus that point, basis points (ours)-1.6
How does it compare with earlier auctions?The previous 12 auctions, then every window
Against the previous 12 auctions of the 10-year TIPS
MeasureThis auctionMedianHigherLower
Bid-to-cover ratio2.382.417 of 125 of 12
High real yield0.6640.4940 of 1212 of 12
Indirect bidders' share67.263.22 of 1210 of 12
Direct bidders' share7.58.07 of 125 of 12
Primary dealers' share25.328.911 of 121 of 12
High minus median, basis points7.95.21 of 1211 of 12

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

The longer windows

Each measure against earlier 10-year TIPS auctions: how many were higher and lower, and their median
MeasureThis auctionWindowHigherLowerMedian
Bid-to-cover ratio2.38Last 24 auctions17 of 246 of 242.50
Bid-to-cover ratio2.38Since 10 April 200829 of 4111 of 412.52
Bid-to-cover ratio2.38All 69 since 29 January 199734 of 6934 of 692.38
High real yield0.664Last 24 auctions0 of 2424 of 240.282
High real yield0.664Since 10 April 200814 of 4127 of 410.500
High real yield0.664All 74 since 29 January 199747 of 7427 of 741.622
Indirect bidders' share67.2Last 24 auctions2 of 2422 of 2452.9
Indirect bidders' share67.2All 41 since 10 April 20082 of 4139 of 4147.5
Direct bidders' share7.5Last 24 auctions16 of 248 of 248.2
Direct bidders' share7.5All 41 since 10 April 200820 of 4121 of 417.1
Primary dealers' share25.3Last 24 auctions23 of 241 of 2436.0
Primary dealers' share25.3All 41 since 10 April 200840 of 411 of 4141.7
High minus median, basis points7.9Last 24 auctions3 of 2421 of 245.7
High minus median, basis points7.9Since 10 April 200811 of 4129 of 416.7
High minus median, basis points7.9All 74 since 29 January 199715 of 7457 of 745.2

The table scrolls sideways; the first column stays in place.

When are the figures from, and how are they cited?Dates and how to cite

Observed .

Shares of competitive bids, grades against earlier auctions and the high-minus-median spread are computed by 500metrics from Treasury's published fields.

Observed .

How to cite this

U.S. Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Fiscal Data, Treasury Securities Auctions Data, auction of 19 November 2015. Results file: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2015/R_20151119_1.pdf. Compiled by 500metrics, "10-year TIPS auction of 19 November 2015 (reopening)", https://500metrics.com/treasury/auctions/10-year-tips/2015-11-19.

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